Superforecasting

Superforecasting

by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner

2016

Ever wonder why some people seem to see the future with uncanny accuracy? This book delves into the science and art behind exceptional prediction, revealing that extraordinary foresight isn't a mystical gift but a learnable skill. Through fascinating research and a massive forecasting tournament, the authors identify "superforecasters" – ordinary individuals who outperform experts – and distill their methods for anyone seeking to make better, more informed decisions in an uncertain world.

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Planning & Forecasting